BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Air Force 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Air Force 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.27 |
28.15 (+1.87) |
14.60 |
1.14 (-13.46) |
11.27 (+10.13) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
352.91 |
325.56 (-27.35) |
291.20 |
181.35 (-109.85) |
235.43 (+54.08) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.65 |
5.14 (-0.51) |
4.58 |
3.32 (-1.26) |
4.01 (+0.68) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
18.91 |
21.39 (+2.48) |
33.00 |
29.39 (-3.61) |
26.39 (-3.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
287.91 |
327.07 (+39.16) |
399.60 |
380.69 (-18.91) |
360.58 (-20.11) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.01 |
5.50 (+0.49) |
6.74 |
6.42 (-0.32) |
6.07 (-0.34) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Merrimack |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 21-6 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
San José State |
16.21 |
28.65 |
+12.44 |
44.86 |
30.04% |
L 7-17 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Baylor |
12.56 |
33.69 |
+21.13 |
46.25 |
16.10% |
L 3-31 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-29 |
@Wyoming |
13.98 |
24.04 |
+10.06 |
38.02 |
33.87% |
L 19-31 |
1-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Navy |
12.27 |
25.52 |
+13.25 |
37.79 |
28.75% |
L 7-34 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@New Mexico |
26.79 |
33.20 |
+6.42 |
59.99 |
39.71% |
L 37-52 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-20 |
Colorado State |
15.98 |
19.42 |
+3.44 |
35.40 |
44.49% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Army |
7.90 |
32.92 |
+25.02 |
40.82 |
9.87% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Fresno State |
12.70 |
19.60 |
+6.91 |
32.30 |
38.92% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Oregon State |
13.91 |
31.04 |
+17.13 |
44.95 |
22.53% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Nevada |
12.10 |
21.69 |
+9.58 |
33.79 |
34.63% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@San Diego State |
12.72 |
16.74 |
+4.02 |
29.46 |
43.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 1-11 |
8.88% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 2-10 |
27.32% |
8.88% |
91.12% |
| 3-9 |
34.00% |
36.20% |
63.80% |
| 4-8 |
21.68% |
70.20% |
29.80% |
| 5-7 |
6.98% |
91.88% |
8.11% |
| 6-6 |
1.08% |
98.86% |
1.14% |
| 7-5 |
0.06% |
99.94% |
0.06% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
1.45% |
| 2-10 |
7.78% |
| 3-9 |
18.64% |
| 4-8 |
25.75% |
| 5-7 |
23.28% |
| 6-6 |
14.65% |
| 7-5 |
6.16% |
| 8-4 |
1.89% |
| 9-3 |
0.36% |
| 10-2 |
0.05% |
| 11-1 |
0.00% |