BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
#105 Air Force 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Air Force 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#126)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.27 |
28.15 (+1.87) |
18.73 |
16.74 (-1.99) |
16.74 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
352.91 |
325.56 (-27.35) |
317.64 |
291.93 (-25.70) |
291.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.65 |
5.14 (-0.51) |
4.83 |
4.46 (-0.37) |
4.46 (+0.00) |
Defense (#64)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
18.91 |
21.39 (+2.48) |
24.82 |
25.43 (+0.61) |
25.43 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
287.91 |
327.07 (+39.16) |
346.64 |
341.08 (-5.56) |
341.08 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.01 |
5.50 (+0.49) |
6.18 |
6.08 (-0.10) |
6.08 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Merrimack |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 21-6 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
San José State |
21.16 |
23.19 |
+2.03 |
44.35 |
46.75% |
L 7-17 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Baylor |
16.77 |
37.54 |
+20.77 |
54.31 |
16.68% |
L 3-31 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-29 |
@Wyoming |
16.85 |
18.46 |
+1.61 |
35.31 |
47.42% |
L 19-31 |
1-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Navy |
15.10 |
29.46 |
+14.37 |
44.56 |
26.96% |
L 7-34 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@New Mexico |
30.04 |
29.70 |
-0.34 |
59.74 |
50.54% |
L 37-52 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-20 |
Colorado State |
18.83 |
18.88 |
+0.05 |
37.71 |
49.92% |
L 13-21 |
1-6 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Army |
7.75 |
28.48 |
+20.74 |
36.23 |
16.74% |
L 3-20 |
1-7 |
| 2024-11-10 |
Fresno State |
18.95 |
21.44 |
+2.49 |
40.39 |
46.01% |
W 36-28 |
2-7 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Oregon State |
24.15 |
20.96 |
-3.19 |
45.12 |
55.12% |
W 28-0 |
3-7 |
| 2024-11-24 |
@Nevada |
19.50 |
22.42 |
+2.91 |
41.92 |
45.33% |
W 22-19 |
4-7 |
| 2024-12-01 |
@San Diego State |
20.37 |
16.26 |
-4.11 |
36.63 |
56.59% |
W 31-20 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.20% |
| 2-10 |
1.78% |
| 3-9 |
6.83% |
| 4-8 |
15.81% |
| 5-7 |
23.69% |
| 6-6 |
24.05% |
| 7-5 |
16.71% |
| 8-4 |
7.83% |
| 9-3 |
2.54% |
| 10-2 |
0.52% |
| 11-1 |
0.05% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |